Board Thread:Administrator Noticeboard/@comment-30232788-20161031163110/@comment-1827503-20161102154110

Let's compare MvGX to Caramoan and Cambodia, two other seasons commonly seen as having backloaded endgames.


 * In MvGX, the 15th-place Tribal Council was on Day 18, and was the sixth Tribal Council of the season.
 * In Caramoan, the 15th-place Tribal Council was on Day 13, and the sixth Tribal Council of the season (including Brandon) was on Day 16.
 * In Cambodia, the 15th-placer was evacuated on Day 13, and the sixth Tribal Council of the season was on Day 16.

You're correct in saying MvGX is delayed a bit; the delay is presumably because of the events of Day 2. However, if we assume there will be Tribal Councils on Days 36/37/38 like in Cambodia, they are not too far behind to make things up.

Let's assume that there are 14 episodes this season, and that episode 12 has two people voted out, as is necessary in 20-person seasons if there are no evacuations. Episodes 7-13 would then have 8 people voted out, leaving 6 people in the game for the finale.