Board Thread:Virtual Tribal Council/@comment-9018289-20130516230836/@comment-1741760-20130516232742

If Sean did not use the strategy immediately after Gretchen being gone, then he would likely know about the alliance. So yes, the Tagi Alliance would be outnumbered 5-4. Unfortunately, even if Sean joined Pagong, Greg was planning on infiltrating Richard's alliance when he spent time with him (it's in the book: Survivor The Ultimate Game), and Jenna was forming an all female alliance with Susan and Kelly. In reality, she was just playing into their hands, resulting in Tagi being able to eliminate Greg.

On episode nine, however, would be a different story. Colleen would have done the same thing she did in the canon series, make the "Barbecue Alliance" with ex-Pagong members Gervase and Jenna. And since Sean would have been on board with Pagong, it'd be 4-4. That's also the time where Kelly didn't want to be in the alliance and voted Sean. In a 4-3-1 vote, Richard would have been out.

Conclusion: If Sean didn't use the strategy after Gretchen being gone, then Richard's alliance would be picked off one by one, resulting in no official "Pagonging".