User blog comment:Blueleaf245/Episode Predictions/@comment-26047483-20160420142645

Going into the season my winner pick was Anna, but after her elimination and Neal's medivac I believed Michele had the best shot at winning, and I still stand by that decision.

I 100% agree with you that Jason and Scot have forfeited their shots at winning.

I'll cover my thoughts on the women in a minute, but for the men, that leaves Joe and Tai as two of the strangest potential male winners we've had in awhile. Joe is the oldest player since season 8 and Tai is...well...Tai. Tai is easily one of the most unique characters in 32 seasons. If Joe makes it to the end with anyone other than Scot/Jason I think he loses. It's striking to see the shift from Rudy back in Borneo, where people would be starting to mumble about how he could be a jury threat based on his age alone. Tai is the only male I see with any shot at winning, and honestly I don't think it's a great one...but if he plays his cards right and wins some challenges as needed he could make finals, where he's bound to get at least a vote or two if not more.

As for the women, preseason I expected a woman to win and I'm extremely confident it will still happen. Cydney absolutely has winner potential but I honestly don't see people letting her into finals. Aubry I believe is perceived as less threatening than Cydney, and that should work in her favor, but I feel like she'll be playing with her back to the wall throughout most of the rest of the game, and her luck might run out before finals. I also believe Cydney beat her in finals. I don't see Julia making finals regardless of what scenarios occur down the line. Either the women eliminate her as a threat for the men's jury votes or the men eliminate her after taking out the other women. Finally, there's Michele...she's played a very under-the-radar game so far and as of now I think she's no higher up than 3rd on anyones' hit lists. I believe she will succeed in making finals with whoever she can beat out of the remaining players, and will win this game. She wouldn't be the most exciting or best winner in the world but I could live with it.

Chance At Making Finals & Winning

8. Jason-0.05%

7. Scot-0.95%

6. Joe-4%

5. Tai-10%

4. Julia-15%

3. Cydney-17%

2. Aubry-23%

1. Michele-30%