User blog comment:Tommyboy97/Philippines Cast Rankings/@comment-2142533-20130113133222

Note: Denise is confirmed to not want to go with the Kalabaw + RC/Skupin plan, because it would force Jeff and Carter (who wanted Penner out based on early info) to join Tandang who already said to Jeff and Carter the plan (possibly Denise said to Malcolm that Jeff wanted Penner out based on Katie's story, so they made a plan that would focus the target only to Penner while being flexible to both Tandang and Kalabaw later) while also keeping her alliance with Malcolm, keeping her options open.

The error of Jeff there is that him and Cater were the swing votes that time, and if they voted against Pete it was still enough for him to be eliminated (so the "numbers thing" isn't true), and Penner's would use his idol which Jeff feared. Two birds in one stone, but Jeff didn't see it I think.

If they voted out Pete, Tandang would have Abi-Artis-Lisa, Malcolm and Denise become floaters due to going with the split plan but having no knowledge with blindsiding Pete, then Kalabaw could've had Penner, RC, Cater and Jeff with Skupin probably joining (and Skupin could save Lisa by convincing to flip too, saying that F6 it would be 3-3 Kalabaw/Tandang so no need to worry) so they would probably have the numbers there.